Visão Geral do Mercado

Dollar steady and gold eases as equities firm before US claims and GDP 

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Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD marked a broad intraday span on Wednesday, registering a new 5‑ and 10‑day high at 4857.67 at 03:06 before sliding to the session low of 4699.73 at 22:05 and settling at 4719.62. The late close left the day down 3.72 (-0.08%) from the 4723.34 open, with a total range of 157.94, or 3.34% of the open. The close sat near the lower end of the range, at 12.6%, and just above a round-number area after an evening probe of the 4700 handle; it finished 19.62 above that level. Price action began with an early ascent that carried above 4800 into the session high, then trended lower through the European and U.S. hours, making the day’s low late in the session and finishing near the bottom decile of the day’s distribution. On the higher-timeframe backdrop, the close remained above the D1 Bollinger midline at 4687.55, while sitting below the H1 EMA21 at 4752.31 into the bell. The session thus combined a fresh multi-day high early in trade with a close near session lows, leaving price between the H1 EMA21 overhead and the 4700 round level beneath. The recent 5‑day low stands at 4554.12. Overall, the pattern featured an early push to new multi-session territory followed by a steady retreat, with the market concluding near the lower tail of the day’s range and marginally above 4700. 

DJ30 
DJ30 finished the session at 47,909.45, up 1,028.5 points or 2.19%, after ranging 1,422.95 points, which was 3.04% of the open and above the 14-day ATR on the daily timeframe of 842.86. The index opened at 46,880.95 and quickly undercut the 47,000 figure with the day’s low at 46,649.45 at 01:32, before a persistent ascent carried price through multiple 100-point handles and the 48,000 mark. The session peak printed at 48,072.4 at 16:48, establishing both a 5‑day and 10‑day high that aligns with the flagged 10‑day high level. It then eased slightly into the close near the 47,910 handle, leaving settlement close to the top of the day’s range. The intraday structure featured an early low set in the opening hours, followed by a steady sequence of higher troughs and peaks culminating near the late‑US window, with only modest retracement into the bell. Notable round numbers in play included the brief break below 47,000 in the first half of the session and a later push through 48,000 before retreating a fraction. On the H4 timeframe, the MACD signal line registered 303.83, while the daily context remained defined by an expanded range relative to recent average movement. The close sits just under the 48,000 figure and above all intra‑session midpoints, underscoring a finish near the upper end of the day’s distribution. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

Central‑bank and market supply signals led a light docket: the Reserve Bank of New Zealand left its policy rate unchanged at 2.25, matching the prior 2.25; U.S. EIA crude inventories rose by 3.08, smaller than the previous 5.45 increase and just under the 3.23 forecast; and the U.S. 10‑year note auction stopped at 4.28 versus 4.22 previously. Looking ahead, the U.S. calendar concentrates at 15:30 server time with Initial Jobless Claims expected at 206.0 after 202.0 previously, alongside the advance look at activity via GDP measures: headline GDP quarter over quarter is forecast to hold at 0.7, unchanged from 0.7 prior, while GDP Sales quarter over quarter is likewise seen steady at 0.4, matching the previous 0.4. If claims print above the 206.0 forecast, it would indicate some cooling in labor demand, which can temper policy‑tightening expectations. No major speeches are scheduled to share the stage with these data, leaving rates and the dollar most sensitive to the 15:30 releases; a brief bout of volatility around the top of the hour is possible as markets recalibrate to the growth and labor signals. 

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