Market Recap
XAUUSD
XAUUSD finished the 13 Feb session at 5043.42, up 115.36 or 2.34% from the 4928.06 open, after traversing a 158.03 range that equated to 3.21% of the opening level. Price dipped immediately after the bell to the session low of 4888.08 at 01:04, then advanced over the day to set the high at 5046.11 at 21:10, with the close arriving at 23:56 just 2.69 below the peak. The close sat well above the session midpoint at 4967.09 and remained north of the 5000 round figure into the final prints, having first moved through that level ahead of the late high. Intraday structure thus ran from an early downside probe to a late-session high, with no later breach of the initial low. On the higher timeframes, the finish was above the 21‑day EMA at 4910.82, placing settlement more than 130 points over that average. Momentum indicators were mixed across horizons: the H1 RSI(14) printed 68.87, the daily MACD signal stood at 128.01, and the H4 MACD was negative at -0.98. Relative to the day’s extremes, the market closed in the upper end of the range, while the early trough occurred within minutes of the open and was not revisited. Round-number interaction was evident around 5000, which saw trade on both sides earlier in the session before price maintained levels above it into the close.
EURUSD
EURUSD ended the 13 Feb session fractionally lower at 1.19, down about 1.9 pips (-0.02%) from the open, after tracing an intraday range of roughly 0.32% of the open, or about 38 pips. Price dipped early to the session low near 1.18 at 09:37, then recovered through the European morning and into the US hours to print the day’s high around 1.19 at 15:30. The 1.18 handle was traded but not broken, while the 1.19 figure capped the upside on first test. By the close at 23:56, the pair was positioned just above the midpoint of the day’s range and below the afternoon peak, leaving a modest upper segment unfilled. The sequence featured an initial downside extension from the open, a midday rebound, and a late-session consolidation within the upper half of the range. On the intraday backdrop, the H1 21‑EMA sat close to spot around 1.19, with price oscillating around that reference into the close. From a broader context, EURUSD remained beneath the 5‑day high and comfortably above the 10‑day low, while on the daily setup it stayed well above the lower Bollinger Band near 1.16. There were no tests of multi-day extremes, and the session’s contained amplitude kept price action centered between the recent short-term boundaries. Overall, the pair respected the 1.18–1.19 band, closing nearer the center of the day’s distribution after a mid-afternoon high and an early-morning low.
GBPUSD
GBPUSD finished the 00:00–05:32 session at 1.36162, down 0.00025 (-0.02%) from the 1.36187 open. Price set the session high early at 00:18 at 1.36266 and later marked the low at 03:27 at 1.36115, producing an intraday range of 0.00151, equivalent to 0.11% of the open. The close was below the open and about one‑third of the way up from the low, leaving it in the lower portion of the session’s range by the bell. Trading was concentrated around the 1.3620 figure, with the high falling short of the 1.3630 area and the low testing the 1.3610 area without a break underneath. The sequence featured an initial uptick into the high within the first 20 minutes, a drift lower that culminated in the 03:27 trough, and a modest recovery into the close that did not revisit the opening level. On the hourly timeframe, RSI(14) printed 33.3. On the four‑hour view, MACD and its signal line were near zero (both at approximately -0.0). On the daily backdrop, spot remained above the lower Bollinger Band at 1.33921 and below the recent 5‑day high at 1.37115. Overall, the session delivered a contained move with a slight negative close, a high established early and a low set in the middle of the window, and price action bounded between the 1.3610 and 1.3630 handles by the end of trade.
Economic Calendar Recap & Preview
US inflation data dominated the session: CPI rose 2.4 percent year over year, easing from 2.7 percent and undershooting the 2.5 percent forecast, while the headline index printed 326.59 versus 326.03 prior and a 326.28 consensus. Core pressures were firmer on the month, with core CPI up 0.3 percent month over month after 0.2 percent and above the 0.1 percent forecast; the not seasonally adjusted core measure increased 0.4 percent month over month following 0.0 percent previously. In the coming 24 hours the calendar is sparse, with focus on ECB President Lagarde’s speech at 18:30 server time on 2026-02-14. While speeches carry no numerical forecasts, her remarks can steer market expectations for the policy path; if guidance implies more persistent inflation, tightening expectations may firm. Headline risk around the address could prompt brief volatility in euro rates and FX.