시장 개요

Gold climbs and sterling firms as softer US data keep dollar mixed before inflation 

ADFX 팀

Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD advanced on Thursday, settling at 4765.19 for a gain of 42.01 or 0.889% from the 4723.18 open. Trade spanned 102.53 points, or 2.17% of the open, amounting to 60.2% of the current daily ATR. Price set the session low early at 03:07 with a brief dip under the 4700 handle to 4698.66, then worked higher through the day to print the high at 4801.19 at 20:40, marginally above 4800, before easing to finish 36 points off the peak. The close sat in the upper half of the day’s range after traversing above the 4750 area in the afternoon and holding there into the close. The session unfolded with an early downside test around 4700 followed by a steady progression of higher intraday highs culminating in the evening top; no new multi-day extremes were recorded, with the five-day high remaining at 4857.67. From a higher time frame perspective, spot remained above the H4 50-period simple moving average at 4668.74 and held above the daily Bollinger midline at 4674.18 throughout the session. It opened just under the H4 21-period exponential moving average at 4729.69 but finished above it, leaving price action positioned between that moving average and the five-day high. By the close, XAUUSD had recaptured ground lost on the early dip under 4700 and maintained levels north of both 4729 and 4750 while staying short of the 4800+ spike recorded late in the day. 

AUDUSD 
AUDUSD moved within a 0.00178 range between 00:00 and 04:09, equivalent to 24.8% of its D1 ATR, and finished at 0.70. The session opened at 0.70 and ended 0.0008 lower, a decline of 0.114%. Price set its session high at 01:05 near 0.70 before slipping to the low at 03:11 around 0.70, leaving the close about 19% up from the trough and anchored in the lower portion of the range. Trading revolved around the 0.70 figure for most of the window, with the 0.71 area untested and the early uptick not extending beyond the prior consolidation band implied by the modest range. The intraday structure showed an initial lift into the 01:05 peak, followed by a steady retreat into the 03:11 low and a marginal recovery into the close. On higher timeframes, the pair settled below its H1 20-period SMA at roughly 0.70, while remaining above the H4 50-period SMA near 0.69. On the daily setup, the lower Bollinger Band is positioned around 0.68, providing additional context to the broader backdrop. The reported close location at 19.1% of the session’s range underscores the lower-end finish. With the entire move unfolding around the 0.70 handle and a sub-2 pip close-to-open difference, the session reflected tight price discovery within well-defined intraday boundaries, while maintaining alignment above the H4 trend marker and well above the D1 lower band. 

GBPUSD 
GBPUSD ended the session at 1.34, up 0.0036 on the day (0.268%), after a 0.0078 intraday range that measured 0.58% of the open. Price opened at 1.34 and set the session low at 10:20 near 1.34, before climbing into the evening to register the day’s high at 20:40 close to 1.35. The sequence of extremes was low before high, and the close was positioned nearer the top of the day’s range than the bottom. Trading spanned both sides of the 1.34 figure during the session, with spot ultimately holding above that round level into the close while falling short of sustaining trade beyond the next big figure. The distribution of prices left the market finishing in the upper portion of the day’s span, indicating that late-session levels remained elevated relative to the morning trough. On the higher timeframe, the daily 20-period simple moving average stood at 1.33, leaving the close around 0.011 above that reference. From a structural standpoint, the day organized around the 1.34 handle: early dips found traction below it before intraday momentum carried price through and toward the upper end of the 1.34s, with the late high printed shortly before the session ended. By the close, spot had consolidated above 1.34 and below 1.35, with the finish closer to the session peak at 20:40 than to the morning low at 10:20, capturing a net advance within a sub-1% range versus the open. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

US releases over the past day pointed to softer growth and a modest cooling in labor: first‑quarter GDP increased 0.5 percent quarter over quarter (prior 0.7, forecast 0.7) and GDP sales rose 0.3 percent (prior 0.4, forecast 0.4), while initial jobless claims climbed to 219k from 202k, above the 206k consensus. Focus now turns to Friday’s US inflation docket at 15:30 server time: the CPI index is projected at 327.82 after 327.46 previously, CPI year over year is expected to slow to 2.3 percent from 2.4 with that 2.3 percent as the forecast, and core CPI month over month is seen holding at 0.2 percent after 0.2 (forecast 0.2); the core CPI n.s.a. month over month last printed 0.4 percent. If CPI runs hotter than the 2.3 percent year over year and 0.2 percent core month over month consensus, expectations for easier policy could be pushed back. No major central bank meetings are scheduled in this window, but any remarks from policymakers around the release may shape rate‑path narratives. A brief bout of cross‑asset volatility around the 15:30 publication time is possible given the sensitivity of rates and the dollar to inflation surprises. 

자신감 있게 거래하세요,
신뢰가 뒷받침됩니다.

안전하고 신뢰할 수 있는 거래 환경을 위해 ADFX를 신뢰하는 전 세계 수백만 명의 트레이더와 함께하십시오. 지금 바로 여정을 시작하세요!