Market Recap 

XAUUSD 
XAUUSD opened Tuesday’s session at 5324.69 and posted its high early at 5379.87 at 03:25 before sliding to a low of 4996.31 at 17:17, a move that set a 5‑day low and briefly undercut the 5,000 round level. It settled at 5090.3, down 234.39 points or 4.402% on the day. The intraday range spanned 383.56 points, equivalent to 7.2% of the open and around 272.9% of the D1 ATR, marking an expanded session. The close was positioned in the lower portion of the day’s range, around 94 points above the low and well below the high, reflecting a session that moved from an early uptick to a later downswing before a modest late recovery into the bell. Relative to intraday references, price finished beneath the H1 20‑SMA at 5207.75 and the H1 21‑EMA at 5184.27, having traded above those averages during the early‑session push toward the high. On the higher time frame, the daily MACD signal line stood at 104.17. The 10‑day low sat at 4960.69, leaving the session low 35.62 points above that marker. In terms of structure, the high was established shortly after the open, followed by a persistent descent that accelerated into mid‑afternoon, a probe under 5,000, and a late bounce that did not revisit the moving averages or the opening region. By the close, XAUUSD had retraced a sizable portion of the early range extension, but remained closer to the day’s floor than its peak. 

AUDUSD 
AUDUSD traced a wide session on 2026-03-03, finishing at 12:45 at 0.70, down 0.0063 or 0.89% from the 0.71 open. Price marked its high at 0.71 at 03:25 before sliding into the European morning to a low of 0.70 at 12:38, leaving the close in the lower 13% of the day’s range. The intraday span measured 0.0108, equal to 1.52% of the open and about 1.75 times the D1 ATR14 of 0.0061, highlighting an unusually large move for the day. Early trade operated around the 0.71 figure, while late trade pressed toward the 0.70 handle where the session trough was set. With a midpoint near 0.71, settlement below that marker underscored the downside skew by the close. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the pair ended beneath the H4 21-EMA near 0.71, keeping price action below a commonly watched dynamic level intraday. The day’s low also registered fresh 5-day and 10-day lows, while the session remained below the recent 5-day high at 0.71. The sequence saw the high established in the first quarter of the window, followed by progressive declines into the final half hour when the low was posted. By the close, AUDUSD was holding above the 0.70 figure but well under the session peak, with the late settlement situated toward the bottom of the day’s distribution and below both the session midpoint and the H4 moving average reference. 

USOIL 
USOIL posted a wide 7.56 move on Tuesday, or 10.6% of the open, registering a fresh 5‑day and 10‑day high at 78.04 at 16:16 before settling at 74.90. The contract opened at 71.19 and finished up 3.71 on the day, a gain of 5.2%. The session low was set early at 01:44 at 70.48, keeping the 70 figure intact, then price advanced to the intraday peak above 78 and eased back into the close just under 75. The settlement was in the upper half of the day’s range, around 3.1 below the high and 4.4 above the low, with the low established in the first hour and the high mid‑afternoon, and no retest of either extreme into the bell. Round‑number levels were active, with a brief push through 78 and a defense of the 70 area; the close clustered near short‑term trend markers, sitting around the H1 SMA20 at 74.82 and above the H1 EMA21 at 74.49. On the H4 timeframe, MACD stood at 2.37 and RSI14 printed 78.09. On the daily backdrop, spot remained above the Bollinger middle band at 66.16. Overall, the session featured an early dip from the open toward 70.48, a sustained climb into the 16:16 high, and a pullback into the US afternoon that left the market holding gains into the close while preserving new multi‑day highs set earlier in the day. 

Economic Calendar Recap & Preview 

Euro area inflation accelerated, with CPI rising to 2.0 percent year over year (prior 1.7, forecast 1.8), underscoring a modest upside surprise against expectations in the latest release. Looking ahead, focus turns to Australia at 02:30 server time, when fourth‑quarter GDP lands: the quarter over quarter print is due alongside the annual measure, which is forecast at -75.9 after -75.0 previously. The US calendar then picks up at 15:15 server time with ADP Nonfarm Employment Change, seen at 11.0 following 22.0 in the prior month; a stronger-than-forecast result could firm expectations for broader payroll momentum. At 17:00 server time, ISM Non‑Manufacturing Prices Paid is anticipated at 65.5, easing from 66.6, offering another read on services input costs. While no major policy meetings are slated over this window, these releases will help shape rate and growth narratives into the week’s larger data. Note that the ADP report can produce short‑lived volatility in rates and FX around the publication time.